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Ford Electric Pick-up Sales Plunge 50% a Reflection on US EV Market

Under the wave of electrification of the global automotive industry, Ford, as a representative of traditional American automakers, has attracted much attention for its electrification transformation. However, the latest data shows that Ford's electric vehicle sales in the United States in October were 6,264 units, down 8.3% year-on-year, with the F-150 Lightning electric pickup truck sales falling particularly hard, plunging 49.8% year-on-year. This phenomenon reflects the many challenges of Ford's electrification process and deserves further discussion.

First, there are multiple reasons for the decline in sales

Behind the decline in Ford's electric vehicle sales is a complex market environment and internal factors. Ford CEO Jim Farley recently revealed that the company's loss in the field of electric vehicles is expected to reach 5 billion US dollars (about 35.6 billion yuan) this year, indicating that its early investment in electrification transformation is huge, but short-term profitability is difficult to achieve. This financial pressure may have forced Ford to adjust its electrification strategy and rethink the balance of the overall business.

In response to the decline in sales, Ford recently announced that it will reduce the starting price of the 2025 Mach-E to $36,495, which is $3,500 lower than the previous model. The price reduction measures are intended to increase the attractiveness of the market, especially in the context of increased competition in the electric vehicle market. Ford hopes to reverse the decline with price advantage, but the effect of this strategy remains to be seen.

In addition, the loss of Ford's electric vehicle division has a significant impact on the company's overall finances. According to the latest financial report, Ford's electric vehicle division reported an EBIT loss of $1.2 billion in the third quarter. This not only affects the company's short-term financial soundness, but also further limits Ford's investment in electrification.

Second, the sales of F-150 Lightning have fallen off a cliff

As a core product of Ford's electrification strategy, the F-150 Lightning's sales plummeted by 49.8%. The model was highly anticipated when it was launched last year, but its sales performance failed to maintain its popularity. In response to the lack of demand, Ford announced that it would suspend production of the F-150 Lightning for about six weeks from November 18 to January 6. This decision may be an attempt to clear inventory, but it also shows that Ford needs to revisit its marketing strategy for electric pickup trucks.

Figure: Sales of the F-150 Lightning electric pickup truck

Figure: Sales of the F-150 Lightning electric pickup truck

Ford's challenges in the electric pickup segment may be related to the specific needs of its target market. The F-150 series traditional fuel pickup has excellent durability and cost-effectiveness in the North American market, especially suitable for commercial and construction sites. However, the F-150 Lightning's higher pricing, lack of range, and inadequate charging infrastructure may limit its acceptance in these markets. At the same time, the emergence of emerging competitors such as Tesla's Cybertruck and Rivian R1T has further intensified market competition.

3. Performance and opportunities of other electric models

While sales of the F-150 Lightning have been unsatisfactory, Ford's other electric models have performed relatively well. Sales of the Mustang Mach-E in the U.S. market in October increased 21.3% year-on-year to 3,313 units. With its sporty design and relatively modest price, this electric SUV has attracted a group of urban users. In addition, rising consumer preference for SUVs also contributed to the model's sales growth.

Ford's commercial electric vehicle, the E-Transit, also saw significant growth, with sales in October up 181.1% year-on-year to 1,088 units. This growth demonstrates Ford's potential in the commercial electric market. Although the current base of E-Transit is small, Ford is expected to make further efforts in this segment as demand for electrification increases in the logistics and commercial vehicle sectors.

4. Ford's electrification challenges and strategic adjustments

The fluctuation in Ford's EV sales reflects the company's dilemma in transition. First, the rapid expansion of the EV market has increased consumer choice, but it also means fierce price competition and technical barriers. Tesla's price reduction strategy, for example, has had a ripple effect on the market as a whole, forcing other brands to adjust accordingly. Ford's price cuts show that it has taken an aggressive approach to market share, but the margin compression and brand image issues that may arise from the price cuts cannot be ignored.

Second, battery costs and supply chain instability have increased manufacturing costs, impacting EV profitability. Batteries, the core components of electric vehicles, are subject to raw material fluctuations and supply chain bottlenecks, which brings unprecedented challenges to traditional car companies such as Ford. Compared to Tesla, which has a vertically integrated advantage in battery technology, Ford is relatively less competitive on the supply chain side, so it is difficult to quickly improve the profitability of its electric vehicle division in the short term.

Thirdly, fluctuating market demand and changing consumption habits are also affecting Ford's sales. As the adoption of electric vehicles increases, U.S. consumers are switching cars less frequently, especially in an uncertain economic environment, and consumers are more inclined to extend the life cycle of their vehicles. In addition, inadequate charging infrastructure and limited range may also lead to consumers being shy away from pure electric vehicles, especially in areas such as pickup trucks and heavy-duty vehicles.

5. Ford's future outlook

Faced with the multiple challenges of electrification transformation, Ford is adjusting its electrification strategy while exploring hybrid models to meet diverse market needs. For example, Ford plans to introduce a hybrid version of its main model in order to promote the growth of its electric vehicle business while maintaining its market share of combustion engine vehicles. This will not only reduce the pressure of reducing costs, but also diversify investment risks and lay the foundation for a comprehensive transformation.

In the future, Ford may increase investment in electric vehicle R&D and technology improvements, such as battery range and charging technology, to enhance product competitiveness. In addition, as the scale of the electric vehicle market expands, Ford is expected to improve its cost advantage by deepening its cooperation with supply chain partners. This will help Ford gradually improve its financial position and achieve a steady transition as it electrifies.

Conclusion

The decline in Ford's electric vehicle sales, especially the sluggish performance of the F-150 Lightning, reflects the difficulties of traditional automakers in the process of electrification. Although Ford has taken measures such as price cuts in response to market changes, it is difficult to completely reverse the unfavorable situation in the short term. In the future, Ford needs to focus on further improving the technology and market demand of electric vehicles to enhance its competitiveness. With the deepening trend of electrification, whether Ford can achieve a "breakthrough" in the U.S. electric vehicle market will become the focus of attention.

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